Questions? Rainfall at the Tucson International airport, the official location in Tucson, of 0.67" is 1.81" BELOW normal & ranks as the 9th driest January through April period on record. By weather.com meteorologists October 13, 2022 At a Glance A generally colder than usual winter is expected in the northern tier of states. The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded 0.19" which ranks as the 29th driest March on record, tied with 1949 & 1966. Officially, 7.41" of rain was recorded at the International airport which ranks, in the 128 year climatic record period (1895-2022) for Tucson, as the 13th driest year on record. My model is showing drier than normal conditions for most of California, majorly drier than normal for Southern California than Northern. The last time back-to-back Octobers' were BELOW normal was back in the 1980's when there was a string of SEVEN straight BELOW normal Octobers' from 1980 to 1986. No matter how you like your winter, youre sure to find it in Arizona. Add the current city. In central Arizona, its mild and fair, and sometimes rainy. While anything is possible, it appears a season full of mellow days and drier air is ahead, so get your sweaters. hit 113.9 degrees F, 45.5 degrees C. Amazing. NWS The monthly average temperature of 71.8 is just under four degrees above normal and ranks as the 4th warmest April on record. This is the least amount in a year since there was ten in 2008. While it's true that large volcanic eruptions have historically had a temporary cooling effect on earth's climate, that's not the case for the Tongan eruption. All NOAA. Here in the Valley, showers will be off and on throughout overnight. The Winter seasonal forecast for the area, issued November 18th, called for a 41% chance of above normal temperatures & a 48% chance of below normal precipitation. Take control of your data. The average yearly temperature of 56.8 is six-tenths of a degree BELOW normal and ranks as the 27th warmest on record through the end of March. Rainfall amounts were mostly between 0.25" and 0.75". A warmer February is also possible from the mid-Atlantic states into the rest of the Southeast, Southern Plains westward into New Mexico and eastern Arizona. Rainfall totals across the metro area ranged from 4" to 10" with localized higher amounts up to 15". But if it weakens, that could spell a colder winter for some. Crawford's expectation for a stronger polar vortex this coming winter implies colder air will overall be bottled up in more northern latitudes. If youre planning to visit Arizona in the near future, we highly recommend that you review the 14 day weather forecast for Arizona before you arrive. The video covers both precipitation and temperature predictions, polar vortex, arctic blasts, typical snowfall, and regions that will see wamr and dry conditions for winter 2022 - 2023. One exception was the pandemic year of 2020, when travel all but came to a. And I will say, it looks opposite of December 2021s with a different atmosphere and this is for both Southern California and Arizona Weather Force so read on for details after the first paragraph . La Nia - the periodic cooling of the equatorial Pacific Ocean waters - is in play as one of the primary drivers for the winter outlook once again this year. See more current weather Annual Weather Averages in Sedona Airport Sedona Airport is 29 miles from Arizona, so the actual climate in Arizona can vary a bit. Keep in mind this outlook is an overall three-month trend. If you are a current member and NOT on a monthly plan, your Winter 2022 tier expires March 1st, but do not renew until the Spring 2022 tier is opened, which youll receive an email then. A generally colder than usual winter is expected in the northern tier of states. Weather Forecast Legend WeatherTAB helps you plan activities on days with the least risk of rain. Best for planning. This is tied with 2008 for the lowest Spring average dating back to 1946. Two were for record highs and three were for record warm low temperatures and all of them occurred in December. We say absolutely! But when will it really start? Youll definitely want to check out some of our favorite, We say absolutely! What is the chance of rain in Arizona in January? This is in sharp contrast to the previous water year which was rather wet with the airport recording 14.23". She attended college in the Houston area and changed her major twice (psychology, computer science, and finally criminal justice) before taking a leap of faith and dropping out to pursue a career in freelance writing. It begins just at the backend of Arizonas monsoon season, which officially comes to a close on Sept. 30. The best hidden gems and little known destinations - straight to your inbox. The Climate Assessment for the Southwest (CLIMAS), a well-established and innovative inter- and transdisciplinary climate research team, is looking for a Program Manager to join our team. Rainfall at the Tucson International airport, the official location in Tucson, of 4.80" is just under two & a third inches below normal and ranks as the 19th driest January through August period on record. So what's in store? Editor's note: The above video aired during a previous year's forecast. The Farmers' Almanac predicts winter will be wild in much of the United States, but pretty average in Utah. The Weather Companys primary journalistic mission is to report on breaking weather news, the environment and the importance of science to our lives. It begins just at the backend. Tracking NFL Coaches Fired After 2022 Season Kliff Kingsbury and Lovie Smith are the latest NFL head coaches to be fired By Max Molski Published January 9, 2023 Updated on January 9, 2023 . Expect snowy days, but not as many as we usually see (which isn't great for this whole drought situation we're in). Rainfall at the Tucson International airport, the official location in Tucson, of 0.67" is 1.57" BELOWnormal & ranks as the 14th driest January through March period on record. But there is a new ocean anomaly emerging that will also play its part. including sunrise/sunset and moon phases. Rainfall amounts across the metro area, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, were mostly below a third of an inch /0.33"/. The 2022-2023 U.S. Winter Outlook map for precipitation shows wetter-than-average conditions are most likely in western Alaska, the Pacific Northwest, northern Rockies, Great Lakes and Ohio Valley. The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded only 0.81" which is around a half an inch below normal and ranks as the 53rd driest September on record, tied with 1949. Arctic 2022 Summer - Coldest on Record. Temperature extremes for the month ranged from a high of 103 on the 6th to a low of 65 on the 17th. The temperatures in Arizona in February are comfortable with low of 11 C and and high up to 21 C.. Over the next 10 days high temperatures gradually warmed through the 60's into the 70's peaking on the 27th with a monthly high temperature of 79. This is the second consecutive October to be below normal. These were the first record temperatures set/tied in 2022. Temperature extremes ranged from 111 on June 16th to 65 on September 17th. This ties the monthly record previously set in 2017. The silver lining is that when warmer weather finally does arrive, we'll be even more grateful for it. The forecast for precipitation is a 33% chance that they will be above normal and a 33% chance that they will end up below normal. Rainfall occurred across the metro area over three time periods during the month. Essentially, the formula uses sunspot activity andthe effect the moon has on the earth to be able to predict weather about two years in advance. With that being said, the colder than normal temperatures are already being felt in both regions. Nov. 17, 2022 Finally. The state's smoky skies were caused by a wildfire in Arizona, but the National Weather service said Monday's smoke and heat will be gone Tuesday. The only significant difference between this winter's outlook and the outlook for 2020-21 is that the chance of above-normal temperature is about 5-10% less than it was last winter, likely the result of somewhat higher above-normal temperature thresholds due to the change in long-term averages described above. Coming off one of the WETTEST years on record in 2021 where the airport recorded 15.19", the outlook called for enhanced probabilities for below normal rainfall through the Spring season then equal chances for below, near or above normal rainfall for the remainder of the year. RELATED: La Nina is here and it's not good news for Arizona's drought, The Official NOAA Winter Outlook for 2022-2023 has been released and as of right now the odds are slightly tilted towards below normal precipitation and above normal temperatures for the desert southwest. Backed by the 5th warmest June and 7th warmest July and the warmest Summer average low temperature on record (tied with 2020), Summer 2022 goes into the record books asthe 3rd warmest Summer on record, tied with the Summers of 2013, 2015 & 2019. For the third year in a row, the La Nia weather phenomenon is expected to bring a lack of precipitation and warmer-than-average temperatures for not just Arizona, but the entire U.S. Southwest. Here are some temperature highlights for the month: The monthly average temperature of 61.7 is two-tenths of a degree below normal and ranks as the 24th warmest March on record, tied with 2019. Expect a few rainy days but usually not more than 3. Precipitation: Equal chances use the map provided below. The water year is below normal since October 1st at 6.16" which ranks as the 17th driest water year to date with one month left in the water year calendar. The yearly total to date currently stands as the 7th driest year with one month left in 2022. MAIN WEBSITE: Dont forget. Rainfall amounts, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, varied widely across the metro area which is always the case during the summer thunderstorm season. Winter temperatures are once again expected to be split between a warmer than average South and colder than average North, with colder risks in parts of the East. February climate data and outlook across southeast Arizona. The weather in Arizona in January is good. Temperature extremes ranged from a high of 105 on May 15th to a low of 33 on March 8th. However, this ingredient in the forecast cannot be predicted until winter is in progress. Some of the storms produced heavy rain, especially on the 4th, 5th, 6th & 8th. The average yearly temperature, through the end of October, of 74.4 is 0.9 above normal and ranks as the 7th warmest on record. Additionally the airport monthly total extended the streak of below normal rainfall for March to "18" straight. To troubleshoot, here is the link to get situated. The bottom line, according to Crawford, is this eruption isn't expected to be a significant influence on this winter's weather. July climate data across southeast Arizona. The seasonal average temperature of 71.0 goes into the record books as the 5th warmest Spring on record. The water year is well below normal since October 1st at 2.03" which ranks as the 8th driest water year to date with four months left in the water year calendar. The drought classification for the area degraded to D2 (Severe Drought) during May. In December, the best chance of at least somewhat colder than usual temperatures is expected in the East, from the Great Lakes to the Northeast and mid-Atlantic states. The recently released NOAA U.S. Winter Outlook made the predictions Thursday, bringing the news that widespread extreme drought is expected to persist throughout the West. Two daily record temperatures were set during the month. The average yearly temperature through the end of November of 72.9 ranks as the 11th warmest on record. NWS Tucson Arizona. This ranks as the 13th driest Fall on record. NOAA NCEI State Climate Summary for Arizona, 2022; Local Programs. Click on the image to the right to see how 2022 compared to the historical record. Discover our growing collection of curated stories on Washington State. March 2023; April 2023; May 2023; June 2023; July 2023; August 2023 . If you are NOT receiving the e-mails and are a full member, your account is either expired or you need to troubleshoot. When Does It End? Temperature extremes ranged from a high of 85 on December 1st to a low of 26 on February 3rd. The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded 2.82" which is just over eight-tenths of an inch above normal and ranks as the 34th wettest August on record. NOAA's Climate Prediction Center (CPC) issued a La Nia Watch on Thursday for the potential re-emergence of La Nia conditions by the fall. View detailed forecast, WeatherTAB 2023. 830 AM EST Thu Feb 16 2023. The average yearly temperature, through the end of June, of 68.5 is 1.3 above normal and ranks as the 7th warmest on record. Toggle navigation. A couple of weak weather systems moved across the area on the 28th through 30th bringing the area another shot of valley rain and mountain snow. While there were no companion predictions for central and southern Arizona, Geiger said the cold from the north will likely permeate the south, making it comparatively cold for the states lower deserts. The average wind speed was 8.1 mph which is slightly below the average was 8.2 mph. Temperature extremes for the month ranged from a high of 95 on the 26th to a low of 33 on the 8th. That contrasts sharply with a likely warmer-than-usual February along the northern Gulf Coast, including Florida. You'll receive your first newsletter soon! The first eight days of the month were on the quiet side before turning active between the 9th and 13th thanks to deeper tropical moisture moving across the area from Hurricance Kay, which moved northwest off the Baja Coast. The drought classification for the area stood at D2 (Severe Drought). Winter- It's Coming! According to the Farmers' Almanac (in publication since 1818), states in . The table below shows the breakdown for highs, low maximums and high minimums. In my long range forecast for the season, I predicted 7-14 of rainfall with a likelihood of 10-14. Evening Weather Forecast - 2/26/23. The first official astronomical day of winter arrives on Tuesday, Dec. 21. The wather in Arizona in January can vary between cold and nice weather days. Copyright 2021 Scripps Media, Inc. All rights reserved. But there's a potential curveball with La Nia this winter. If it says liked, dont hit it because thats unfollowing and you wont get updates at AZWF page on your feed. The monthly average temperature of 71.4 is 1.2 BELOW normal and ranks as the 40th warmestOctober on record. According to its forecast map, Arizonas fall theme will be cool with decent precipitation.. The high temperature of 82 on the 20th marked the first August since 2007 that recorded back-to-back days with highs in the 80's. Not all risky days will have rain/snow. This month a raging jet into the Pacific Northwest, which has no blocking. For a more accurate weather forecast please select a city, Click on a day for an hourly weather forecast, Royal Palms Resort and Spa, part of Hyatt. CLICK HERE TO LEARN MORE AND SIGN-UP Local News Sports Politics Opinion For Subscribers . These drought conditions developed after a drier-than-normal 2020 monsoon season and a dry 2020/2021 winter season. Overall, the almanac says it will be wetter than normal, the precipitation beginning in October and extending right through November. Rainfall at the Tucson International airport, the official location in Tucson, of 0.48" is 1.20" BELOWnormal and ranks as the 17th driest January/February period on record. All rights reserved. The Climate Prediction Center forecasts for temperature a 57% chance that they will end up above normal and a 10% chance that they will end up below normal. Odds are tilted toward a colder than average winter from the Northern Plains and Great Lakes to northern New England. ARIZONA WEATHER FORCE MAIN: Arizona Weather Force Office Main Page For updates. Looking ahead into February The Climate Prediction Center forecasts a 47% chance of above normal temperatures and a 45% chance of below normal precipitation. However, if it does rain/snow during the month, expect most of it to occur on higher risk days. Toggle navigation. While the Southwest will likely escape the brunt of the onslaught of winter, we certainly aren't in the clear either. The impacts from the cold plunge resulted in a multi-billion disaster, with Texas especially hard-hit. Rainfall amounts, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, varied widely across the metro area with totals ranging from 0.20" to 1.75" with localized higher amounts to 2.50". ajgarrison - Flickr NOAA's Climate Prediction Center (CPC) issued a La Nia Watch on Thursday for the potential re-emergence of La Nia conditions by the fall. Its the best time of year to visit if youre a fan of hiking, for example. For more detailed information, click the link below. Drier-than-average conditions are forecast in portions of California, the Southwest, the southern Rockies, southern Plains, Gulf Coast and much of . US Dept of Commerce Temperature extremes for the month ranged from a high of 100 on the 26th to a low of 39 on the 13th. This ranks as the 16th driest first half of the water year period on record. The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded 4.13" which ranks as the 52nd driest Summer on record. National Weather Service NWS Tucson Arizona 520 North Park Ave, Suite 304 Tucson, AZ 85719 (520) 670-6526 Comments? For the first time since 2010, September recorded more triple digit high temperatures (8) than August did (7). This is a quite a difference from a year ago when the airport recorded 13.84" of rain through the end of October. Sorry, the location you searched for was not found. This ranks as the 55th wettestOctober on record, tied with 1941. Amounts ranged from 3" to 8" with localized higher amounts up to 12". Arizona Weather in Tucson Weather in Tucson in December 2022 Tucson Weather Forecast for December 2022 is based on statistical data. On your streaming device:Download 12News+ to your streaming device. The airport two-day total of 0.74" ranks as the 3rd wettest New Year's Eve/Day on record. However there were isolated spots that recorded up to a three-quarters of an inch /0.75"/. This is the third February in the last four years that the average monthly temperature was below normal. The first five months were rather dry with the airport only recording 0.67" or 2" below normal. Normal rainfall for December 0.96". Please select one of the following: Tucson, AZ Standard Radar (low bandwidth), NOAA NCEI State Climate Summary for Arizona, 2022, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. NWS Tucson Arizona520 North Park Ave, Suite 304Tucson, AZ 85719(520) 670-6526Comments? Meanwhile, the southern U.S. is expected to have a warmer than usual winter. The arrows point to the cooler than average water in the eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean, indicative of La Nia. Calendar overview of Months Weather Forecast. The Climate Prediction Center forecasts for temperature a 35% chance that they will end up above normal and a 32% chance that they will end up below normal. I think we do a pretty good job, Geiger said. One of the strongest thunderstorms of the month hit the airport on the evening of the 23rd with a wind gust of 76 mph. Peter Geiger, the editor of the Farmers Almanac,said there wasnt much particularly interesting or new forecasted for the area this fall, with generally fair weather from September through October. For the first Summer since 2010 & the sixth time since 1980, there were no record highs set or tied at the airport. Rainfall amounts across the metro area, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, ranged widely from 0.10" to 0.75 ". While this isn't always the case every time La Nia is present, it is representative of the average impacts. . This month the airport recorded 9 days which is the highest amount dating back to 1948. Thanks to the new warmer 30-year climate normals, which went into effect last year, the average yearly temperature this year through the end of March is below normal although it was warmer than two years ago (56.8 vs 56.5). Nearly 10,000 power outages were reported in Arizona Wednesday as a winter storm passed through the state, one of many places in the U.S. dealing with winter Colder air and blocking weather pattern often develop when the polar vortex is weak. The last March to record above normal rainfall was in 2004 when 1.12" was recorded. Here are some of the monthly temperature highlights during 2022: A total of sixteen daily record temperatures were set or tied during 2022. According to the CPC, there is a tendency for back-to-back La Nia winters which increases forecaster confidence in the probability that this coming winter will indeed be another La Nia winter. The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded 0.28" which is over a half an inch below normal and ranks as the 38th driest January on record, tied with 1929.